I Wanted to Be Wrong About eFishery. I Really Did.

I remember the pitch. I remember the guy. I remember sitting in the same room as him around ten years ago, listening to people praising his tenacity, seeing well regarded people and startup figures laud him as a visionary, and walking away feeling that gnawing sense I’ve come to trust over the years. When the story feels too clean, too heartwarming, too startup-perfect.

But I didn’t say anything publicly to avoid being called out for having a markedly opposing view and being highly skeptic about it, not to mention the predictable judgment that would have come, accusing me of being envious while not being anywhere near successful. It was after all a gut feeling with little to back it up and I wasn’t about to go on a mission to take down the latest tech darling of the nation, the pride and Joy of the Indonesian startup community, with no support. This company was an international sensation and people in my circle knew of my doubts but I don’t recall posting publicly about it.

When everyone else was throwing praise and cash at a fish-feeder startup like it’s the second coming of Grameen Bank, it’s easy to start wondering if maybe you’re just being cynical. Maybe you’re jaded. Maybe the founder really was a scrappy visionary from East Jakarta who’s cracked aquaculture and was about to scale empathy and catfish across Southeast Asia. I mean look at all those articles about the company and how this guy appearing out of nowhere becoming something of a tech startup prophet.

Except now, here we are: $300 million gone, farmers screwed, machines abandoned, and the poster child of “tech for good” exposed as a meticulously constructed con.

And you know what? I’m not surprised. I’m pissed.

Because I wanted to be wrong. I wanted this story to be true. I wanted this to be the one that proved that impact and innovation and bottom-of-the-pyramid hustle could build something real. But from the beginning, eFishery had all the wrong kinds of charm: the underdog myth polished to perfection, the handcrafted pitch deck trauma-bonding with VCs who wanted to save the world without leaving the hotel lounge.

He said all the right things. He did all the right gestures, looking all pious and revered. And when the numbers didn’t line up? When the tech was too expensive for the people it was supposed to help? When the revenue made zero sense for a company claiming to transform Indonesia’s rural fish farms? Everyone just nodded harder.

I watched as global investors, SoftBank, Temasek, Sequoia (Peak XV), Social Capital, lined up to outbid each other for a slice of this sweet, scalable fiction. And the media? Oh, we played along too. We love a redemption arc. We love a startup that feeds fish and our desire to feel like capitalism might still be capable of doing something decent. Again, with all these big name international funds coming in to feed the fish feeding startup, who am I to contradict their supposed intellect and superior judgment?

But deep down, I kept thinking: this doesn’t smell like fish. It smells like a fishy performance.

Now that it’s unraveled, this wasn’t just a few optimistic numbers or an overzealous forecast. This was systemic. Two sets of books. Ghost transactions. Fake shell companies. A finance operation so convoluted it’d make a crypto bro blush. All of it propped up by a moral calculus so warped it might as well have been cribbed from a freshman philosophy seminar: “Yes, I lied, but I helped some farmers, so doesn’t that count for something?”

No, it doesn’t. You don’t get to run over everyone with the trolley and call it “net positive.”

The real damage here isn’t just financial. It’s reputational. It’s trust. It’s yet another blow to the already fragile belief that startups in emerging markets can build something real without burning down the ecosystem around them. This kind of fraud doesn’t just hurt investors. It makes it harder for every honest founder grinding away on a real solution with real traction and real limitations.

And don’t get me started on due diligence. Multiple rounds of funding, multiple term sheets, global funds with armies of analysts, and no one noticed the company stopped filing basic financials in Singapore? That feeder machines were supposedly deployed at scale with zero supply chain footprint? That fish feed producers weren’t even aware of this supposed revolution happening in their own backyard?

The worst part? Some people will still excuse it. They’ll frame it as a tragedy. As a good person corrupted by pressure. A “lesson” for the ecosystem. I get it. That’s cleaner. Easier. But I can’t do that. Not after watching people celebrate this company like it was changing the world, when some of us knew it wasn’t adding up.

There were moments when I wondered if I was just being too harsh, too skeptical. I thought, maybe I’m just tired of the hype machine. Maybe I’m projecting.

Turns out I wasn’t projecting. I was just paying attention and my gut was screaming against my rationale.

And now, here’s the wreckage: laid-off staff, bankrupt farmers, investors licking wounds, and a founder who thinks starting a frozen seafood business is part of his redemption arc.

No. You don’t get to fail upward on the backs of people you lied to.

This wasn’t inevitable. This wasn’t an honest mistake. This was a choice, repeated, amplified, and dressed up as progress. And he did it because everyone he asked told him it’s okay to do it because they all did it too. They all failed him and everyone paid the price. Fake it til you make it, they said. Well, in this story, nobody made it.

And I hate that my gut feeling was right.

On the other hand he managed to hoodwink Chamath Palihapitiya who deserves everything coming at him.

Artifact News Reader is Being Shut Down

I’ve enjoyed using Artifact and it’s upsetting that it’s being shut down because it really seemed like it was on its way to be a really good news reader. It’s often the first or second app I open to kickstart the day. I like that Artifact lets you load an AI-generated article summary if you don’t have time to read the full story.

Artifact at some point added social elements but people just didn’t see it that way because it’s a news reader first and foremost. It also let you publish your own takes of the news linking to them, making it a blog platform. This part I enjoyed a lot. I didn’t post too many times but enough to keep me writing my thoughts on things that bugged me.

They said Artifact will remain up until til the end of February. I’ll be spending some time to republish those posts here and backdating them accordingly.

Ultimately for a blogger it all comes back to running your own space if you want to keep your published thoughts available to read on the web. Maybe one day I’ll eventually decide to have my own self hosted blog and social web instance like it’s always meant to be and move everything to that because platforms like there, including Medium and Tumblr, may one day shut down if they can’t justify keeping them around whether through lack of revenue or something else.

For my daily news reading there’s always Flipboard which I also still use regularly but I’m going to miss Artifact.

Über and the private car hire services

You know all those private cars for hire at Soekarno Hatta airport? All those drivers offering “taxi” service? They’re not so bad. Sure they’re a bit more expensive than regular taxis but after a couple of tries, the cost to get me home from the airport isn’t that much more expensive.

Instead of paying 100k plus toll fare, I paid 150k including toll fare and because the fare is agreed upon prior to getting into the car, if we get stuck on a traffic jam, they don’t charge more. It also takes out the frustration of having to wait for ages to get a cab.

Come to think of it, all they need is legitimacy and it’s definitely not difficult. If you think of them as private cars for hire instead of a taxi service, something more like Golden Bird as opposed to Blue Bird, the cost makes more sense.

If you have their phone number, which is direct to the driver instead of the company, you can ask them to pick you up anywhere in the city and go to any place.

In fact, I think these companies are only one step away from becoming something like Uber or Lyft. The only thing lacking is a centralized booking system with accompanying smartphone apps.

There is of course the issue of trust. Because the system is still manual and there’s no immediate or recognizable assurance that they are certified drivers for legitimate transport service companies, there’s no guarantee you won’t get a creepy guy or even a criminal on the driver’s seat. – Read on Path.

Thought via Path

Sometimes I wonder about apps and services. There’s plenty that pop up every month but only a handful would get exposure and manage to gain a meaningful number of users or members.

Exposure is about reaching to the media as well as getting your friends to keep using them.

They used to say that unless you get a million users, your service won’t amount to anything. Last year, that million became ten million. The bar gets set higher and higher and even if you have a great looking app that does useful stuff, without reaching a million, most investors or advertisers won’t look twice.

Sometimes it’s not so much about the number of users but about how much they use they service. If they use it a lot, eventually more will join. Sometimes you need to steal people from other services, drag them away. The trick though, is in keeping them around, making sure they keep using it. I think that’s the most difficult thing to figure out. – Read on Path.

Groupon’s IPO will be mailed out to daily email subscribers once it ruthlessly negotiates 50-90% off its own initial share price.

160 users in three months, 200 million in 5 years

Twitter only had 160 users after three months but they were sending up to 1000 messages per day, or roughly 6 messages per person per day. Of course, the whole thing didn’t really start to catch on until March 2007 at SXSW. That’s when they started to get thousands of users.

160 users in three months, 200 million in 5 years

Paul Graham on intelligence vs determination when investing in people

Determination. When we started, we thought we were looking for smart people, but it turned out that intelligence was not as important as we expected. If you imagine someone with 100 percent determination and 100 percent intelligence, you can discard a lot of intelligence before they stop succeeding. But if you start discarding determination, you very quickly get an ineffectual and perpetual grad student.

Y Combinator founder Paul Graham explains his decision in picking startups based not on ideas but on founders and their determination. Ideas can be trivial. Ideas can advance far beyond their original inception, but determination and persistence go a long way.

Paul Graham on intelligence vs determination when investing in people

Direction for Koprol?

@rampok: Koprol and Foursquare both existed in Singapore. Should be an interesting battle.
@aulia: @rampok difference is Koprol has no game component. I wonder how they’ll differentiate. Also, Koprol faces competition from Buuuk.
@rampok: @aulia @neofreko I’m more worried about Koprol’s tagline : Indonesia’s location-based social network. *facepalm*
@ivansielegar: @rampok @aulia @neofreko – I think Koprol is still finding the identity. So, Tagline is no biggie. You can always reborn yourself later.
@aulia: @ivansielegar they need to figure out in one sentence what they do. I’d be happier once they have it and make it SEA wide.